KPIX Polls for the Californias 17th Congressional District – Case Study Example

KPIX Polls for the California’s 17th Congressional District The KPIX polls that were released on October 20th indicated the race for the California’s 17th Congressional District. The race for the seat was between Mike Honda and Ro Khanna. Honda and Khanna are both Democrats and are battling it out for the seat that had been previously held by Honda for seven terms (CBS, 2). Honda had the support of powerful democrat leaders including the US President Barrack Obama in his bid to retain the seat. On the other hand, Khan was counting on the support of the republicans as well as the top Silicon Valley chief executives from Yahoo, Google and Facebook.
In the polls that were released by KPIX, Honda is indicated to have had a slim margin over Khanna in the race for the 17th District Congressional seat. This was on the basis of a survey that was carried out by KPIX/ USA Survey. In this survey a sample size of 579 potential or likely voters was used (CBS, 4). The survey was carried out in a period of three days between the 16th of October 2014 and the 19th of October 2014. The sampling method that was used in the survey was the random sampling where potential or likely voters from the California’s 17th Congressional District were chosen. In the survey the 579 likely voters were asked the candidate that they would vote for in the upcoming midterm election. The respondents were to choose between Honda and Khanna. Both Honda and Khanna are Democrats.
From the survey, the result indicated that 37 percent of the likely voters would vote for Honda in the upcoming midterm elections whereas 35 percent indicated that they would vote for Khanna. A quarter of the likely voters which is 28 percent were undecided on who to vote for (CBS, 4). In this survey the margin of sampling error for the question was ± 4.2%. The results indicated that Honda had a two percent margin over Khanna in the upcoming Midterm elections.
From the results of the polls it was evident that Khanna was gaining ground in his attempt to unseat the seven time congressman Mike Honda for the 17th congressional district seat. Honda had the support of the majority of the Democrats. On the other hand, most of the Republicans had showed support for Khanna in the upcoming midterm elections.
KPIX Polls for the District 23 California State Senate
The second poll to be considered is that that pitted Bill Emerson and Mellissa Ruth O’ Donnell. The polls were conducted by KPIX on 15 October 2014 ahead of the November 4 2014 midterm elections in California. Bill and Mellissa were competing for the District 23 seat in the California State Senate.
In the survey, a sample size of 650 likely voters was used. The sample size consisted of likely voters who were randomly selected in the District 23 in California ahead of the midterm elections that were slated to be held in November 4th 2014 (CBS, 3). This sample size was to be used to predict the outcome of the upcoming midterm elections for the state senate. In the survey, the likely voters were asked about the candidate that they would choose or vote for in the upcoming midterm elections. The likely voters were randomly selected without considering whether they were Republicans or Democrats. However, they were asked to indicate their political stand or party of choice.
From the polls, it was clear that Bill Emerson had an advantage over his main competitor Mellisa. 56 percent of the respondents in the survey indicated that they would vote for Bill in the upcoming midterm elections for the District 23 seat in the state senate. On the other hand, 34 percent of the likely voters indicated that they preferred and would vote for Mellissa in the upcoming state elections (CBS, 5). The remaining 10 percent were undecided on who they will vote for between Bill and Mellissa in the upcoming elections.
From the polls it was clear that Bill had a 22 percent margin over Mellissa in the race for the District 23 State senate seat in California. In this particular survey, it is indicated that the sampling margin error that is associated with the question in the survey was ± 4% (CBS, 6).The results of the implied that if the midterm elections were to be held on the day that the poll results were released or on the day that the survey was done, Bill Emerson would have emerged victorious over his rival Melissa Ruth ODonnell.
Work Cited
CBS .KPIX 5 Polls: KPIX 5 Poll: Dist. 17 Race A Dead Heat Between Incumbent Honda, Fellow Democrat Khanna, 2014. Web. 12 November 2014.