1.0 IntroductionRisk modeling a very important to any organization, the security forces are tasked with keeping the security of the country hence they should be in a position to effectively predict the offences and security risks. There must be a better way of analyzing the current situation and correctly infer to the future state. Law enforcement personnel may have skills and experience but the handling of offence risk assessment may prove to be challenging and unclear to them, conducting risk assessment may require skills and background information that is different from other investigations (Fein et al. , 1995).
Offenders are becoming more advanced in their activities where unpredictable means are being invented to carry out their activities. This report sought to find out the risk model and how it can be modeled while using crime offences from the police crime offence department. The possible security risks are also identified. A detailed risk assessment model was designed and risk assessment sheets are also presented in this report. To begin with we will review at various definitions of the term; risk.
Risk can be explained quantitatively in terms of percentages or qualitatively in descriptive terms such as low, medium and high. In the security field risk would be the probability or frequency that a given type of security related incident would or would not occur at a given site. According to NGOs approach to security risk is defined as a combination of the impact and likehood that damage, loss or harm to NGOs from the exposure to threats (SAG, 1991). Risk in information security can be defined as an unauthorized access, disclosure modification or destruction of information (Title 44 of the United States Code).
While mathematically, risk can be defined a risk = (probability of the accident occurring) x (expected loss in case of the accident) (Dantzing, 1953). Risk assessment is process which evaluates the likelihood of a given hazardous environment this may contribute to a particular disease or illness. Risk assessment is normally used as a measure of having in place regulations which protect the public from hazards in air, food, water and in the entire environment. The process also can be use to determine how much clean up is required when contamination is already exists.
Risk assessment is a systematic examination of all factors that led to an offender committing the offence, if this could be solved and if not what other steps should be taken to control the risk. The role of Risk Assessment Risk assessment play various role, for instance, it enable employers to have a general duty to maintain safety and health of employees in every area related to work. In police, for crime control it enables law enforcers to take the measures which are important to protect the safety and health of their countrymen and themselves.
Some of these measures can include the preventing occupational risks like accidents in the organization, providing information and training to employees. The information may include promotions and training can involve taking workers for seminars, workshops to learn and organizing an institution and means to implement the important measures.